Monday, 11 January 2016

Dredging Corporation of India Limited- massive growth ahead



CMP-   Rs.405
M.cap-    1,139 cr


  

Dredging is the process of excavating or removing soil or rock from below water using dredgers. The operation of dredging involves two main stages
(i)                the material to be removed has to be disturbed and loosened and then lifted to the water surface and
(ii)              Every cubic meter of material dredged should be relocated or disposed of to a suitable disposal site as identified. The main objective of dredging is the creation of deeper and/or wider waterways to improve navigation of ships.

Dredging market is a composition of various types of activities such as

Capital dredging projects are primarily port creation and expansion projects, which also involve the deepening and/or widening of channels to allow access by larger and deeper draught ships and also the provision of land fill for building additional port facilities, thereby enhancing port capability.

Maintenance dredging consists of the restoration of designed depths of waterways and harbors by removing silt, sand and other accumulated sediments. Due to natural sedimentation, active channels generally require periodic maintenance dredging, thus creating a continuous source of dredging work that typically must be carried out if the navigability of the channels is to be maintained.

Inland dredging consists of dredging in rivers, canals, lakes and other inland bodies of water. It is used to create or maintain depths in inland waterways for inland transportation, for flood control, to increase capacity of silted ponds and also to remove polluted sediments

Reclamation dredging involves capital dredging and is the raising of land levels and creation of land. Beach nourishment dredging generally involves moving sand from the seabed to shoreline locations when erosion has progressed to a stage that threatens substantial shoreline assets or affects tourism

The scope for dredging in India
The scope for dredging in India is potentially vast, looking at the prospects of development and maintenance of existing major ports, building new ports, offshore resources exploration, demand from navy and more interestingly the projects envisaged for national waterways. The capital dredging demand during 2012-2017 is about 639 million m3 and that of maintenance dredging during the same period is about 521 million m3. This requires the employment of substantial number of dredgers of varying capacities. The minor sector dredging demand of about 100 million m3, during the said period, offers additional opportunity for dredging. The modal shift of cargo to inland and coastal waterways offers bright prospects for a sustainable economic prosperity.


Demand Drivers

Indian Dredging Market

The increased focus on infrastructure and impetus by the government to make India a global trans-shipment hub, coupled with some of the large dredging projects already announced reflects the high potential of the Indian dredging market.

Market Size ~Rs. 20,000 Cr.  by 2020

Demand Drivers
(i)                Deeper Draft at Ports | Atleast 14 mtrs .
(ii)             Increase in EXIM Trade and throughput Capacity at Ports
(iii)           Land Reclamation
(iv)           Emerging Trends | Ultra Mega Size Vessels
(v)             Consistent maintenance and capital dredging at existing ports
(vi)           Inland Transport & water linking projects
(vii)        Tourism Development| Beach nourishment



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Company Overview

·        Premier dredging company in India in terms of hopper capacity & quantity dredged

·        Owns and operates 12 Trailer Suction Hopper Dredgers, 3 Cutter Suction Dredgers and 1 Back hoe Dredger

·        Conferred with “Mini Ratna Category I status” by the GOI in November 1999

·        Key customers for Fiscal 2015 include Kolkata Port (Haldia), Kandla Port, Ennore Port, Cochin Port, Visakhapatnam Port.

·        Estimated market share of 75.6% in maintenance dredging and 64.9% in capital dredging during Fiscal 2015

·        A premier and the only PSU dredging company in India.
Preferred dredging company for Major Ports and Indian Navy.
Has been in dredging business since 1976 catering to the dredging requirements of the Major Ports & Indian Navy.
·        Operates a diverse dredging fleet which is the largest in India in terms of capacity. The size, versatility and technical capabilities of DCI’s fleet improves its competitiveness as it generally permits it to select the appropriate equipment for a particular maintenance dredging job.
·        To maintain the value and effectiveness of fleet, DCI emphasizes on preventive maintenance so as to reduce the downtime, increase profitability, enhance the vessel life
·        Leader in maintenance dredging in India through combination of usage of advanced equipment and experience. Sized as the largest dredging company in India and extensive experience significantly enhances the ability to bid profitably bid and complete the contracts awarded.
·        The senior management team as well as the floating personnel who manage the dredgers have vast experience in the dredging and maritime industries which provides a significant edge over the competitors.



Indian Government is planning  Inland waterways projects, which will make it possible for us to fully reap the benefits of large rivers like Ganga. India has just 14500 KM of inland waterways even these are not used for transportation of goods which can be very cheap as compared to road and rail. And our Non-religious Neighbor China has waterways of 100000 km and it transports around 47% of its cargo via water, we are at 3-4%. Even Europe is at 44%, Bangladesh at 35% !!

Number of inland vessels in india are just 1000, in china there are 200000 and 11000 of Europe.
But now india is waking up and just recently they planned a waterway from Varanasi to Haldia of 1620 KM. Dredging is constantly required to keep these waterways navigable.

So we will see huge demand for dredging. DCI is the biggest indian Dredging service provider but garners just around 700 cr of turnover. But it has acquired 3-4 new vessels in last 2-3 years and plans are for better planning of its finance
Other Competitors in dredging industry

Indian

·       Adani Ports and SEZ Ltd.


·       Dharti Dredging and Infrastructure Ltd., Hyderabad

·       Mercator Limited, Mumbai
·       Chellaram Shipping Pvt. Ltd., Mumbai

Indian arms of foreign companies


·       Boskalis Dredging India Pvt. Ltd.

·       International Seaports Dredging Pvt. Ltd., Chennai

·          
·       Jan De Nul Dredging India Pvt. Ltd.

·       Van Oord India Pvt Ltd




The government encouragement for “Make in India" has brought in a lot of economic interest in all industries.
Falling fuel prices will reduce the expenses significantly in the future.

Diversification Plan of DCI


Coastal Shipping
The forecasted economic growth for India is expected to transcend to the shipping industry which in turn is expected to post high growth. This would result in increase in the number of dredging (shipping) vessels servicing the Indian shores, which would require operational management. However due to DCI’s lack of existing capability coupled with no related synergies, DCI can at best only expect to be a small player in the Coastal Shipping Segment.

Dredge Repair Yard
The past couple of years has seen a large number of international players enter the Indian dredging market. This coupled with the rise of few domestic players has increased the total dredging fleet within the Indian market.
Presently India and its neighboring countries do not possess a dredge repair yard of international repute to service and maintain these technically complex vessels. Thus this option can be considered by DCI in partnership with a shipyard to service captive requirements and for other customers in the region

Soil Trading
This area is very nascent and not particularly well developed in India currently, although international majors have diversified into this area. The growth potential and entry barriers would largely depend on the market dynamics in future

Civil Construction
A growing trend evidenced in large port contracts is that these are being awarded on a turnkey basis to a consortium displaying both civil and dredging capabilities. To be able to cash in on this opportunity DCI needs to enter into a consortium to offer turnkey solutions to client as developing this skill set in-house may be difficult and capital intensive.

Training
At present there is no Institute offering formal education and training in the dredging field in India. DCI can enter into a tie up with some of the management institutes in India to impart formal education in this space and can also leverage this course to carry out research and development to further its technological know-how



Final word- Dredging Corporation of India Limited is all set to become a major player in its field and has huge growth potential for creating wealth for its investors.



Disclaimer: I have vested interest in this company and hence my views are biased.

Registration Status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. As per the clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”.



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